Exploring the Influence of Attitudes to Walking and Cycling on Commute Mode Choice Using a Hybrid Choice Model

Ding, Chen, Duan, Lu, Cui, 2017, in Journal of Advanced Transportation

doi:10.1155/2017/8749040
Location Zhenjiang City, China
Population General
Sample size 1110
Factor analysis type confirmatory factor analysis, nan rotation
Stepwise regression no
Removal of insignificant variables no
Reviewed by LCM

Abstract

Transport-related problems, such as automobile dependence, traffic congestion, and greenhouse emissions, lead to a great burden on the environment. In developing countries like China, in order to improve the air quality, promoting sustainable travel modes to reduce the automobile usage is gradually recognized as an emerging national concern. Though there are many studies related to the physically active modes (e.g., walking and cycling), the research on the influence of attitudes to active modes on travel behavior is limited, especially in China. To fill up this gap, this paper focuses on examining the impact of attitudes to walking and cycling on commute mode choice. Using the survey data collected in China cities, an integrated discrete choice model and the structural equation model are proposed. By applying the hybrid choice model, not only the role of the latent attitude played in travel mode choice, but also the indirect effects of social factors on travel mode choice are obtained. The comparison indicates that the hybrid choice model outperforms the traditional model. This study is expected to provide a better understanding for urban planners on the influential factors of green travel modes. © 2017 Chuan Ding et al.

Factors

Models

Dependent variable Active commute mode
Model type Discrete choice
Sample size 1110.0
R2 nan
Adjusted R2
Pseudo R2 (nan) nan
AIC 8600.808
BIC 8670.571
Log-likelihood at zero nan
Log-likelihood at constants nan
Log-likelihood at convergence nan
Variable Coefficient p-value
Constant 0.547 0.0
Household children -0.058 0.05
Bicycle ownership 0.243 0.0
Car ownership -0.046 0.142
Bus card -0.042 0.149
Drivers' license -0.064 0.036
Gender 0.016 0.567
Age 1 (below 35) 0.115 0.001
Age 3 (over 55) 0.059 0.037
Education 1 (low - junior school) 0.005 0.105
Education 3 (high - bachelor, master, or Ph.D.) 0.089 0.006
Government -0.054 0.049
Income 1 (less than 2000 Y) 0.171 0.0
Income 3 (more than 8000 Y) -0.011 0.693
Dependent variable Active commute mode
Model type Hybrid choice
Sample size 1110.0
R2 nan
Adjusted R2
Pseudo R2 (nan) nan
AIC 8267.361
BIC 8311.986
Log-likelihood at zero nan
Log-likelihood at constants nan
Log-likelihood at convergence nan
Variable Coefficient p-value
Constant 0.547 0.0
Household children -0.058 0.049
Bicycle ownership 0.245 0.0
Car ownership -0.045 0.153
Bus card -0.043 0.138
Drivers' license -0.066 0.032
Gender 0.013 0.625
Age 1 (below 35) 0.113 0.001
Age 3 (over 55) 0.059 0.04
Education 1 (low - junior school) 0.053 0.087
Education 3 (high - bachelor, master, or Ph.D.) 0.087 0.007
Government -0.056 0.042
Income 1 (less than 2000 Y) 0.165 0.0
Income 3 (more than 8000 Y) -0.013 0.651
Attitude towards nonmotorized travel 0.056 0.095

The Attitudes and Travel Database is produced with support from the Center for Teaching Old Models New Tricks at Arizona State University, a University Transportation Center sponsored by the US Department of Transportation through Grant No. 69A3551747116.

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