Influence of Individual Perceptions and Bicycle Infrastructure on Decision to Bike

Gulsah Akar, Kelly J. Clifton, 2009, in Transportation Research Record

doi:10.3141/2140-18
Location College Park, MD
Population Other (specify)
Sample size 1128
Factor analysis type principal components, none rotation
Stepwise regression no
Removal of insignificant variables yes
Reviewed by NAH

Abstract

The focus of this study is on the opportunities and challenges presented to cyclists on and around the campus of the University of Maryland, College Park. A web-based survey was conducted to understand the travel patterns and the specific issues regarding bicyclists. The survey included questions about possible bicycle infrastructure improvements, policy, and program innovations to assess the perceptions of the campus community regarding these changes. The findings of this survey, conducted to understand cyclists' travel patterns and identify their issues and concerns, are discussed. Both nonbicycle commuters and bicycle commuters agreed that bicycle lanes, trails, and paths would encourage them to ride a bike (or ride more often) to the campus. Discrete choice models are estimated to model the commuters' mode to campus. The findings of the models suggest that people are more sensitive to time for nonmotorized modes and women are less likely to ride a bicycle. Those who perceive walking and biking as a form of exercise and identify flexibility of departure time as an important factor in their mode choice are more likely to ride a bicycle. Those more likely to choose to drive an automobile to campus assume that they do not have other options to commute to campus. Policies designed to promote the use of bicycle transportation on and to the campus based on these findings are presented. The results of this study will help practitioners and campus transportation planners understand the reasons that prevent people from bicycling and evaluate the transportation improvements that may be considered to achieve bicycle-friendly campuses.

Factors

Models

Dependent variable Mode choice
Model type Discrete Choice
Sample size 997.0
R2 nan
Adjusted R2
Pseudo R2 (nan) nan
AIC nan
BIC nan
Log-likelihood at zero -1570.6
Log-likelihood at constants -1013.1
Log-likelihood at convergence -1013.1
Bike
Variable Coefficient p-value
ASC —Bicycle -2.196 0.0
Public
Variable Coefficient p-value
ASC —Public -1.012 0.0
Walk
Variable Coefficient p-value
ASC —Walk -1.765 0.0
Dependent variable Mode choice
Model type Discrete Choice
Sample size 997.0
R2 nan
Adjusted R2
Pseudo R2 (nan) nan
AIC nan
BIC nan
Log-likelihood at zero -1570.6
Log-likelihood at constants -1013.1
Log-likelihood at convergence -777.7
Bike
Variable Coefficient p-value
ASC —Bicycle -1.648 0.0
Time (bike) -0.159 0.0
Public
Variable Coefficient p-value
ASC —Public -1.148 0.0
Time (public) -0.085 0.0
Walk
Variable Coefficient p-value
ASC —Walk 0.719 0.05
Time (walk) -0.173 0.0
Variable Coefficient p-value
Time -0.034 0.0
Cost -1.678 0.0
Dependent variable Mode choice
Model type Discrete Choice
Sample size 997.0
R2 nan
Adjusted R2
Pseudo R2 (nan) nan
AIC nan
BIC nan
Log-likelihood at zero -1570.6
Log-likelihood at constants -1013.1
Log-likelihood at convergence -695.2
Bike
Variable Coefficient p-value
ASC —Bicycle -0.999 0.011
Time (bike) -0.155 0.0
Female (bike) -1.011 0.0
Graduate student (bike) 0.694 0.021
Public
Variable Coefficient p-value
ASC —Public -1.465 0.0
Time (public) -0.081 0.0
Graduate student (public) 0.998 0.0
Undergraduate student (public) 0.237 0.313
Walk
Variable Coefficient p-value
ASC —Walk 1.109 0.025
Time (walk) -0.17 0.0
Female (walk) -0.555 0.117
Graduate student (walk) 0.475 0.191
Variable Coefficient p-value
Time -0.028 0.001
Cost -1.536 0.0
Dependent variable Mode choice
Model type Discrete Choice
Sample size 997.0
R2 nan
Adjusted R2
Pseudo R2 (nan) nan
AIC nan
BIC nan
Log-likelihood at zero -1570.6
Log-likelihood at constants -1013.1
Log-likelihood at convergence -686.0
Bike
Variable Coefficient p-value
ASC —Bicycle -1.605 0.0
Time (bike) -0.146 0.0
Female (bike) -0.762 0.012
Graduate student (bike) 0.672 0.031
Factor 1 0.366 0.005
Factor 2 0.234 0.043
Factor 3 -0.139 0.227
Public
Variable Coefficient p-value
ASC —Public -1.513 0.0
Time (public) -0.079 0.0
Graduate student (public) 0.976 0.0
Undergraduate student (public) 0.261 0.267
Factor 2 0.071 0.303
Factor 3 -0.098 0.255
Walk
Variable Coefficient p-value
ASC —Walk 1.062 0.033
Time (walk) -0.169 0.0
Female (walk) -0.471 0.191
Graduate student (walk) 0.48 0.187
Factor 2 0.177 0.187
Variable Coefficient p-value
Time -0.026 0.001
Cost -1.537 0.0

The Attitudes and Travel Database is produced with support from the Center for Teaching Old Models New Tricks at Arizona State University, a University Transportation Center sponsored by the US Department of Transportation through Grant No. 69A3551747116.

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